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STOCK MARKET CONDITION
THE MARKET
The financial markets in the USA are Volatile. For some reason the Federal Reserve Chairman has failed to recognize that the USA has governmental issues that need to be resolved before Americans can bear any more financial weight from a depressionary economy. First on the Feds list should be reduce the Fed Debt from an approximate negative -4.5 Trillion to a negative -1.1 Trillion. The Fed is -4 Trillion more in debt in 2016 than in 2008. This amount is not included in the National Debt of -19 Trillion Dollars up -9 Trillion since 2008.
GOVERNMENT
Printing more currency does not appear to be the answer. From 1994 to 2008, 14 years, the US Government printed approximately the same amount of Currency as the current Administration has from 2008 to 2016, the past 7 years. Americans have seen no benefit and the USA economy has not began to rebound. It has actually worsened.
STOCK MARKET
The Federal Reserve move in December 2015 has rendered the USA Financial markets to it highest degree of instability since 1929.
A FUTURE FINANCIAL OUTLOOK
The USA Stock market is Volatile and the Real Estate Market has not recovered. Future indications at this time are, that when the Financial Markets begin to rebound the current administration will curtail any rebound.
RED = WORSE
MILITARY BUDGET 2015
54% of US Budget for America
2015 - 598.5 BILLION
2015 - 43 Billion Homeland Security
2015 - 5 Billion to Fight ISIS
2015 - 496 Billion- DOD
Department Of Defense Base Budget
Actual: 83% to DOD ~ 11% or 64 Billion to Mid East War Effort ~ 2 % or 12 Billion Int'l Security ~ 3% or 18 Billion Nuclear Weapons ~ 1% Other Defense.
Footnote:
US Budget of 1.1 Trillion Dollars. Only 515 Billion goes to USA expenditures.
COMMENTARY
The US Military Budget is more than China, Russia, Saudia Arabia, France, UK, Germany, Japan, India and South Korea combined.
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ANALYSIS
The superficial JAN 2016 Inflation Rate is a carry forward from 2015. The USA, based on Inflation Rate history has been in a Depression since January 2015. From 1913 to 2015 the USA Inflation Rate Average is +3.18%.
The current 2015 to 2016 Average is the lowest since 1959.
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USA INFLATION RATE HISTORY
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15 Month Average
1-2016 ~ 4-2016
| JAN +1.4 |
FEB +1.0 |
| MAR +0.9 |
APR *.* |
| 1-2015 ~ 12-2015 |
| JAN +0.1 |
FEB 0.0 |
| MAR -0.1 |
APR -0.2 |
| MAY 0.0 |
APR -0.2 |
| JUL +0.2 |
AUG+0.2 |
| SEP 0.0 |
OCT +0.2 |
| NOV +0.5 |
DEC +0.7 |
*APR 2016 is Unknown
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1980-1982 not included, Carry Forward from 1979~11.9%
Out of Control Level
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35 Year
Averages
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| 2012~15 |
| 1.4% |
| 2009~11 |
| 1.5% |
| 2000~08 |
| 3.2% |
| 1992~99 |
| 2.5% |
| 1988~92 |
| 4.6% |
| 1982~88 |
| 4.5% |
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REAL ESTATE FUTURES
If Retail Interest Rates continue to rise it will again squeeze off any potential real estate market recovery.
COMMENTARY
There are some locations in the USA that are showing better figures than the USA's Averages. These areas are few and far between.
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INTEREST RATES
Speculation: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Interest Rates eased up a fraction 1/10% of a percent average, at the Wholesale level, while the Retail Level is reflecting a 1/4% to 3/8% percent increase to the consumer. The Federal Reserve Board has indicated that at the upcoming June 2016 meeting it will take into consideration a poor USA inflation rate history among several other non preforming economic indicators, that have been present since 2015. This may result in interest rates continuing to be stable, briefly. The current Prime Lending Rate of 3.50% appears to be in tack until June 2016. FED's Interest Rate Hikes continues to be the main focus.
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FDR Franklin D. Roosevelt: 32nd President
1933-1945 World War II
“Only Thing We Have to Fear Is Fear Itself"
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JFK John F. Kennedy ~ 35th President
1961-1963
“Ask not what your country can do for you; ask what you can do for your country.”
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Ronald Reagan ~ 40th President
1980-1988
“If we ever forget that we're one nation under God, then we will be one nation gone under.”
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