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Daytona USA Financial News ~ Retail Sales underwarter as Black Friday approaches ~ November 16, 2017

 Real Estate and Stock Markets financial outlook and US Government reporting.

Real Estate Financial News

Just The Facts
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Daytona Real Estate Investment News reports encompass the current market reaction so you may make an informed decision regarding a buy hold, sell, trade Real Estate Investments and review the Newsworthy Topics of the competitive Wall Street Financial Markets.

We take a close look at the accurate information, current events despite the political rhetoric and propaganda already in circulation. We know your investment future depends on the facts, ROBINSON REPORTER

Tracking America's Future.

 

October 24, 2017
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TRUMP Administration
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October 24, 2017 
Breaking News Top Story

USA Home Sales: Experience 0Zero Growth from January to thru September 2017  Retail Sales continue lower than expected for September as we approach Black Friday.


Nationwide Home Sales up +0.7 in September but overall figures show a continuing down trending. In August 1.7%, -1.3% in July  and -1.8 in June 2017. FED ignors all negitive activity of USA economy steming from their actions.

US FED is scheduling to increase the Prime Lending Rate, possibly as soon as mid October 2017.

US FED raises interest rates for the third time in 10 months as USA economy continues to spiral downward.
FED's Target is America's end.

National Debt skyrockets to over -20 Trillion
As of October 1, 2017.

National Debt was Down 88 Billion in the first 110 days of the Trump Presidency.

January 20, 2017 - Nov.15, 2017

*USA Foreclosures Jump 17% in 60 days or Up 105,000.
*National Debt rises to -20 Trillion as of November 2017.
Money Printing is Down to 692 Billion 2017.
Archive:
National Debt Goes Down in March 2017.
National Debt goes Down in February 2017.
US Money Printing:
National Debt Down again as of August 18, 2017:
National Debt Down in February and March 2017-150 Billion

FED Raises Prime Lending Rates 2016-2017:
Home Sales Down. Home Prices Decline.
Home Prices level with 2016 Prices in
June 2017.

 

2017 Home Sales:

Jan., Feb., March, April, May, June, July, August, September,  2017 -0.51%
Annual Growth Benchmark +7.50%

 

USA Home Sales For 2016 +0.17%
No Real Estate Growth for 2016

9-28-2017
Mtg. Rates Level as USA Home Sales Drop

 


September 28, 2017
FED does not act on their err as USA Heme Sales enter negitive progress for 2017.

July 1, 2017
Federal Reserve Raises Prime Lending Rate on June 14, 2017                   +.25%
4.25%

Federal Reserves Raises Prime Lending Rate on March 16, 2017                +.25%
4.0%

Federal Reserve Raises Prime
Lending Rate on Dec. 16, 2016    +.25%
  3.75%

Real Estate Market on the Down Turn
Federal Funds Rate         1.25%  ^
Prime Lending Rate         4.25%  ^

Mortage Rates                     4.125%   ^
Real Estate Sales                  -0.25%    ^  

Historic Archive
Wall Street Financial Markets Downturn 12/18/2015 Following FED Interest Rate Hike.
Wall Street Reports 1.35 Trillion Dollar Deficit/Loss about
January 15, 2016 resulting  from FED Rate Hike
Wall Street Appears to Rebound March 1 but reports about a -1%
loss at the end of March 2016.

 
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USA Financial News
 US Census Bureau
Esitimates

Housing Starts
As of June
2017
US Housing Starts
Jan. 2017
Feb. 2017
March 2017
April 2017
May 2017
June 2017
July 2017
August 2017
Sept. 2017
Oct. 2017
Nov. 2017
Dec. 2017

Stats - Monthly

Down -2.6%
Up +3.0%
Down -6.8%
Down -2.6%
Down -5.5%
Up +2.1%
Down -4.8%
Down -0.8%
New Home Sales
Jan. 2017
Feb 2017
March 2017
April 2017
May 2017
June 2017
July 2017
Aug. 2017
Sept. 2017
Oct. 2017
Nov. 2017
4.5 Mo. Inventory 
Up +3.7%
Up +6.1%
Up +5.8%
Down -11.4%
Up +2.9%
Up +3.2%
Down -9.4%
Down -0.4%
Up +6.1%

   

 

New Home Sales Accounts for about
10% of the Housing Market and are Projected Sales Counted to be confirmed at a future date. Average for the First 8 months of 2017 is +0.06%.
No Growth for 2017

___________

Housing Starts Down -6.4% for 1st Qtr. 2017
____________
Retail Sales Crash Report 0.24% Average YTD

 

RETAIL SALES ~ September 30, 2017

January 2017
US Retail Sales +0.4%
February 2017
US Retail Sales +0.1%
March 2017
US Retail Sales

-0.2%

April 2017
US Retail Sales +0.4%
May 2017
US Retail Sales -0.3%
June 2017
US Retail Sales -0.2%
July 2017
US Retail Sales +0.6%
August 2017
US Retail Sales -0.2%
September 2017
US Retail Sales +1.6%
October 2017
US Retail Sales +0.2%
November  2017
US Retail Sales
December 2017
US Retail Sales

 

Courtesy of the: USA Census Bureau
Note from RETV.News
A 3.50% to 5.00% Benchmark
in Retail Sales is a good average for a healthy USA economy.

See Videos Below

 

Stamp
 
Man

10/13/2017 
   Rates  
 

Wholesale Rates Market Trend - Up

10/13/2017 
 Monthly
-417,000 Conforming

30/30 4.13%  ^
15/15 3.35%  v
5/25 3.31%  v


Freddie Mac
Wholesale Rates
0 Point Cost

+$418,000 Jumbo
Market Trend Up

30/30  4.14% ^


0 Point Cost


Commercial Retail
7 Yr. Fix due in 20 5.70%  = 
0 Point to 6 Million

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Daytona Real Estate Investment News:

Newsworthy Story:

                                   November 16, 2017
                                       Breaking News
As Black Friday approaches their is no good news for Retail Sales in America.  With Sales just above 0-Zero, the Retail Stores embrace the hopes of lower prices wiill stimulate Store Chain Sales to prevent futher store closures in 2018.

                              October 24, 2017
Retail sales are up for the month of September but came in lower than expected. The up swing is in all probability is from Christmas orders and not an improving USA economy.   USA Home Sales were up +0.7% for the month of September 2017. Nationwide Home sales average for the year is at about 0%  or slightly negative (-) compared to 2016. 
                       
 
                                    October 10, 2010
                                   
American's and America brace for the impact of the FED next arbritary interest rate hike as promised by the Washington Bureaucrats. The Rate Hike is fueled by the FED Chief Janet Yellen a Democratic Appointee from the prior 2009-2016 exiting administration. Can America afford a new recession in 2017?

The FED doesn't seem to be interested in America or America's future. The Dollar is has been and is currently struggling under the current state of affairs regarding a over spent, pork belly former administration. How will the dollar react when the past debt of the 2008-2016 administration  becomes a Federal Reserve Board "Write Down" of  100's of Billions of Debt not paid back by the outgoing 2009-2016 administrations constituency.

                                September 28, 2017
All major economic indicators for the USA are Down again in August  2017. Retail Sales are at -0.2%, Housing Starts at -0.8% and New Home Sales fall again -0.4% as the New Recession emerges in full strength.
                      

                                   August 18, 2017
U
SA economy shows continued weaking in Retail Sales, Real Estate and Consumer Confidence.                                        

                                   July 18, 2017                                 
Home Sales in May 2017 have leveled out after 10 months decline beginning in July 2016. The steady decline from July
2017 thru May 2017 aligned itself with the FED and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac interest rate hikes. This adjustment to home prices was up to approximately -$17,800 since July 2016.
In May and June of 2017 prices leveled due to the fact that there were a lack of home sales in the 0-$100,000 range coming in at a -7.2% and $100,000 to $250,000 coming in at 2.0%, approximately -20%  lower from the preceding month of April 2017.

The  up end support for the market leveling out was from home sales above $250,000. The current result of the FED action is apparently choking off about -30% of the real estate purchase market, not to mention the mortgage loan volume that is also down..

                                      July 1, 2017
US FED interest rate hike drives USA economy deeper down heading the USA into recessionary levels on productivity, Retail Sales, New and Home Sales over the past year and current Auto Sales. The FED writes off America and Americans and calls it a day with unemployment insurance benefits (a 12 month benefit term) improving. The unemployment insurance level is not a calculation for actual unemployed Americans.
                                   
 
                                       June 6, 2017
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Mortgage Rates are easing down to about 3.50%, but it appears the Banks are not following. This may be in anticipation of a future FED Rate Hike to the Prime Lending Rate and Federal Funds Rate that have a direct and indirect influence on Mortgage Interest Rates.

                                        June 2,
2017

USA Existing Home Sales Down -2.3% in April. Cumulative average for 2017 is +0.4%. Retail Sales are at all time lows. Auto Sales for 2017 are less than 2016 for the first 5 month of 2017. To date the FED has not made any moves to improve the depressed USA economy. FED meets again June 14, 2017.
   
                                         May 24,2017
USA New Housing Starts hit the Wall, Down -2.8% in April and -6.8% in March  and -2.6% in January 2017.

New Home Sales crashed in April -11.4% zeroing out
February and March 2017 gains.  Retail Sales stumbled again at +0.4%. US FED continues to ignore USA economy downturns.                              

                                          May 16, 2017    
Retail Sales:
for April 2017 came in a 0.4% approximately -0.2% less than expected.  The first 4 month average of Retail Sales is a depressing .18% about -3.2% under the low benchmark.

A healthy USA Retail Sales figure would be between +3.5% to +5.0%.       
                      

                                          May 1, 2017
USA Major Retailers Store Closures:  
Retail Sales for March 2017 -0.2%.
In a lack luster American economy, Americans and American business try to weather the economic storm.  You may have heard of a couple of the following stores, Sears, JC Penny. Payless, Radio Shack, American Apparel that are among the highest in USA Store Closures for 2017, as reported by the Labor Department  employment statistics. Why are these USA Major Retailers closing? No business. Why is there no business? The consumer has no extra Dollars to spend. Why is there no extra dollars to spend?

Simply put, because the American Purchaser also know as the Goose that Lays the Golden Egg is being goosed.  Many Americans today have to carry 2 part time jobs. Wages over the last 8 years are down 30%.  The TRUMP Administration was left with a 8 years of 1.5 Million less Actual Unemployed Workers.The FED is escalating interest rates in a depression/great recession economy. Potential home buyers and step up home buyers and sellers are being squeezed out of the market by monthly and quarterly interest rate increases that are a result of  the FED actions.                       

                                     April 6, 2017
Retail Sales Low:
Retail Sales have been very low for 2017 year to date. New Home sales which accounts for about 10% of the USA Housing Market have shown a good result, so far for 2017. Existing home sales are underwater for 2017 resulting from a down trending 4th quarter of Home Sales in 2016. In the third quarter of 2016 Existing Home sales appeared to be heading for a year end upswing before interest rates increased almost a 1.0% in 4 months. Since then the FED has raised the Prime Lending Rate which in the final analysis comes back on Americans as higher interest rates on all credit products.

The National Debt decreased in February and March 2017 as did Money Printing. This seemingly shows a strengthing of the USA economy. The reality is the debt increase scenario, the doubling of the National Debt since 2008, will at some point begin the increase of the National Debt.
 
US FED  continues to ignore the need of Americans to have capital gains to stimulate the America jobs, income, productivity and retail sales.

               

                                  March 10, 2017
National Debt Down:

The National Debt is Down 31 Billion in since January 2017 as of March 10, 2017. This is significant since the National Debt has been adding 40 to 50 Billion a Month for quite some time. The Net improvement is about 70 Billion Dollars in about 60 days. In addition the Dollar Supply " printing new money utilizing the Taxpayer as security for the currency" is DOWN over 121 Billion". These two factors if they continue, somewhat demonstrate that the American economy has the where-with-all to improve.

Mortgage interest rates have stayed flat at 4.375% in January and February 2017. USA Home Sales fluctuated up +3.3% for January 2017. Retail Sales came in slightly higher in a lack luster USA economy. New Home Sales were Up 3.7%. New home sales account for about 10% of the Housing Market.

The basic issue today for the Trump administration is that the American consumer lacks viable Capital to stimulate its own USA economy. In the last 8 years the government and investment focus has been in foreign investments leaving USA Main Street citizens behind.

                                       February 3, 2017
Mortgage Rates:

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac jump Mortgage Interest Rates in last quarter of 2016. USA Existing Home Sales Market Drops -6.00% in 3 months as FED increase the Prime Lending Rate on December 16, 2016. This move by the FED increases the probability of static growth and will slow a moving forward under the new administration's plan.

January 10, 2017

Stock Market:
The Stock Market reacts bold to the President Elect Donald Trump plan for America. Bond Markets still struggle. The Federal Reserve Board ignores their target set for the USA economy of a 2.0% Inflation Rate for the USA economy and raised Interest Rates in Mid December with a current average Inflation Rate is 1.19%. A Inflation Rate of 1.0% is considered a economic depression level for a Top 10 Country. Interest rates worldwide have been at low or negative interest levels since mid 2016. This is a blow to the USA economy especially for a new President with stronger internal economic goals for 2017.

USA Economy Actual Model Month
MAR
2016

Nationwide Statistics for the Month of March  2016

%
EXISTING HOME SALES are Up in March over Mar.2015 5.1%
SINGLE FAMILY Homes For Sale prices eased Up. 5.5%
SINGLE FAMILY Condo's For Sale prices eased Up. 1.8%
AVERAGE PRICE CHANGE per "Home For Sale", Up. 3.9%
Commercial Building in High Metro Areas Upswing   2014-2017

Manhattan N.Y. rebuilds the sky commercial and residential.

San Francisco,  CA , The Bay Area sees home values double or more.
A 2 bedroom 2 bath in the city can cost 1.1M.
A 3 bedroom or more can range up from 1.7M .

Florida maintains a steady double digit growth for last
3+ years.

USA National Real Estate Sales continues to faulter as FED increases interest rates.


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